Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.521915 1.729127 1.956154 2.223668 2.530679 2.872474 3.282502
2025-11-09 1.155605 1.412886 1.717523 2.106007 2.589940 3.175096 3.939598
2025-11-16 0.950724 1.235033 1.594076 2.083314 2.736546 3.584185 4.776364
2025-11-23 0.796864 1.089499 1.479791 2.042602 2.840360 3.940980 5.592372
2025-11-30 0.724443 1.036860 1.474462 2.138663 3.132813 4.583729 6.894946
2025-12-07 0.654297 0.974906 1.443816 2.188662 3.359094 5.155917 8.177696
2025-12-14 0.581460 0.897667 1.378155 2.172916 3.477339 5.573135 9.275350
2025-12-21 0.508530 0.810149 1.284301 2.097449 3.485229 5.808469 10.099922
2025-12-28 0.479606 0.788216 1.289984 2.182074 3.765371 6.527880 11.866997
2026-01-04 0.453621 0.767466 1.294075 2.262584 4.046220 7.282844 13.814408
2026-01-11 0.424511 0.737683 1.278680 2.305416 4.262532 7.946876 15.690586
2026-01-18 0.398104 0.709438 1.262230 2.343061 4.471909 8.622763 17.694673
2026-01-25 0.359161 0.655462 1.195430 2.281518 4.488712 8.939710 19.041094
2026-02-01 0.317886 0.592889 1.106115 2.165623 4.381803 8.992378 19.829045
2026-02-08 0.292933 0.558675 1.066903 2.144638 4.467283 9.458431 21.626930
2026-02-15 0.268518 0.522943 1.020850 2.103773 4.504519 9.824773 23.257009
2026-02-22 0.261197 0.520396 1.040512 2.203489 4.862932 10.959737 26.959830
2026-03-01 0.249629 0.507919 1.038378 2.255392 5.120108 11.899402 30.350557
2026-03-08 0.232934 0.483025 1.007526 2.239266 5.215962 12.467467 32.874383
2026-03-15 0.212653 0.448521 0.952578 2.161397 5.152884 12.634171 34.336961
2026-03-22 0.207338 0.446031 0.967417 2.248820 5.509419 13.919329 39.207400
2026-03-29 0.201889 0.442672 0.979886 2.331985 5.867022 15.264138 44.534710
2026-04-05 0.193982 0.432953 0.976756 2.376232 6.129367 16.393744 49.449712